AGS:EURONEXT BRUSSELSageas SA/NV Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
€66.60
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ageas is trading at €66.6, just above its 50‑day SMA of €66.0 and comfortably above the 200‑day SMA of €61.1, confirming a bullish medium‑term trend despite a bearish MACD histogram. The stock benefits from a low beta (≈0.3) and a 30‑day volatility of roughly 16%, indicating modest price swings, while the Fear & Greed Index signals Extreme Greed, suggesting strong market appetite. Valuation appears attractive: a trailing PE of 7.3x versus an industry average of 16.7x and a dividend yield of 6.74% with a sustainable payout ratio around 38%. Recent corporate action – the completion of the acquisition of the remaining stake in AG Insurance SA/NV – reinforces the company’s strategic positioning in its core Belgian market.
The fundamentals show robust profitability (operating margin >11%, profit margin >18%) and solid revenue growth of 19.5%, yet free cash flow remains negative and the debt‑to‑equity ratio is elevated at ~78%. However, the balance sheet is cushioned by a massive cash pile (~€27 bn) far exceeding total debt, mitigating liquidity concerns. Overall, the combination of strong earnings, high dividend yield, and relative undervaluation supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.
The fundamentals show robust profitability (operating margin >11%, profit margin >18%) and solid revenue growth of 19.5%, yet free cash flow remains negative and the debt‑to‑equity ratio is elevated at ~78%. However, the balance sheet is cushioned by a massive cash pile (~€27 bn) far exceeding total debt, mitigating liquidity concerns. Overall, the combination of strong earnings, high dividend yield, and relative undervaluation supports a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price sitting just above the 50‑day SMA with bullish trend direction
- Increasing volume supporting recent price stability
- Proximity to technical support at €64.95
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount (PE 7.3x vs industry 16.7x)
- Strong operating margins and 19.5% revenue growth
- Attractive dividend yield and sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Large cash buffer offsetting high debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Stable regulatory environment for diversified insurance business
- Consistent dividend policy providing income over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth19.50%
Profit Margin18.16%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE18.82%
ROA0.61%
Debt/Equity77.61
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow€2.9B
Free Cash Flow€-1145374976
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.8
Support€64.95
Resistance€69.50
MA 20€67.48
MA 50€66.02
MA 200€61.09
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.09
Valuation
Fair Value€370.51
Target Price€67.45
Upside/Downside1.28%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.74%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.31
Volatility15.91%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.